ID2026-0014 - Indonesia's sugarcane production is forecast to decrease to 35 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year 2026/27, with plantation white sugar production falling to 2.5 MMT. Strong El Niño conditions are expected to reduce both harvested area and sugarcane yields. Despite this decline, the Government of Indonesia (GOI) is not expected to issue import allocations for plantation white sugar and is expected to sharply reduce raw sugar import allocations for industry in 2026/27. This decision reflects an anticipated increase in 2025/26 plantation white sugar production. Sugar consumption is forecast to rise marginally to 7.25 MMT (raw sugar equivalent) in 2026/27. Population growth and expanding demand from the food and beverage industry will drive this increase, though growing health consciousness will temper consumption gains.

ID2026-0013 - Indonesia’s 2026/27 palm oil production is forecast to rise 3 percent to 48 million metric tons, up from 46.7 million metric tons, driven by a wave of trees planted between 2021 and 2024 reaching maturity and the wider use of higher-yielding seed varieties. Soybean meal demand from the feed sector is expected to remain strong in 2026/27, although importers may experience significant uncertainty in 2025/26 under new government import policies. Lower coconut prices are also projected to improve copra mills’ utilization rates in 2026/27.

ID2026-0011 - Indonesia offers strong opportunities for U.S. suppliers to support its $101 billion food processing industry, which relies heavily on imported ingredients. The United States is the fourth largest supplier with an 11 percent market share, maintaining a strong position in key products such as soybeans, wheat, and dairy products. Demand for imported inputs continues to grow, although competition from countries with preferential trade agreements remains strong.

ID2026-0010 - The anticipated early onset of the 2026 dry season, combined with the potential for a moderate El Niño that could bring hotter, drier weather through late 2026 and early 2027, is expected to increase corn harvested area in 2025/26 and 2026/27 since some farmers are likely to switch from growing paddy to corn, which requires less water. Consequently, paddy harvested area in 2025/26 and 2026/27 is forecast to decline, since most corn and paddy are grown in the same fields. Nonetheless, due to higher paddy and corn production in 2024/25, the Government of Indonesia (GOI) did not allow imports of medium-quality rice for consumption or rice for industry. The GOI also reduced the corn import quota for industry in 2025/26, which led corn wet millers to temporarily shut down in late 2025. In contrast, wheat imports in 2026/27 are forecast to increase to meet higher demand from the growing feed and poultry sectors and rising consumer demand for wheat-based foods, with an expected increased market share for U.S. wheat.

ID2025-0055 - The FAIRS Export Certificate Report lists the major export certificates and other Government of Indonesia (GOI) requirements for U.S. food and agricultural products exports. This report updates the 2024 Indonesian FAIRS and supplements information provided in the 2025 Indonesia FAIRS Country Report. Notable updates include information on mandatory halal certification and prior notice requirements.

ID2025-0054 - This report provides updated technical information for requirements and regulations on food and agricultural products as currently required by the Government of Indonesia (GOI). Sections that have been updated for this year include Labeling Requirements; Food Additives; Pesticides and Other Contaminants; Other Requirements, Regulations, and Registrations Measures; Other Specific Standards and Import Procedures. The appendices have also been updated.

ID2026-0001 - FAS Jakarta is pleased to announce the release of a new two-part video series designed to educate U.S. exporters, agribusinesses, and suppliers about Indonesia’s halal requirements, which will expand on October 17, 2026. The videos help U.S. stakeholders understand if their products must be certified halal and how to obtain halal certification. These videos highlight information in FAS Jakarta’s recent report, “Indonesia’s Expanding Halal Standards with Trade Impacts on the Horizon.”

ID2025-0053 - On November 17, 2025, Indonesia notified a draft Decree from Indonesia’s Halal Authority (BPJPH) regarding, “Guidelines for the Implementation of the Halal Product Assurance System for Storage, Packaging, and Distribution Services” to the WTO TBT Committee (G/TBT/N/IDN/183). This regulation establishes new requirements for business operators providing storage, packaging, and distribution services for halal-certified products, which could impact U.S. agricultural exports beyond the halal certification requirements to be implemented on October 17, 2026. Although the comment deadline was November 30, 2025, FAS requested an extension for comment until mid-January 2026. FAS Jakarta recommends U.S. industries impacted by the proposed regulation submit comments to FAS Washington by early January to inform advocacy efforts. This report contains an unofficial translation of the draft Decree.

ID2025-0050 - Indonesian cotton production in 2025/26 is forecast to remain insignificant. Simultaneously, the industry continues to face problems of low global and domestic demand for Indonesian textile and textile products. Issues with low demand are further exasperated by tight competition with cheaper priced products in the local market, weakened local currency, fluctuating cotton prices in international markets, and forecast increases in labor wages. As a result, Indonesian cotton imports and consumption are forecast to decline in 2025/26.

ID2025-0046 - Despite predictions of another year with favorable weather, 2025/26 corn and rice production are forecast to decline. Consecutive plantings of paddy increase the risk of higher pest and disease incidence, which can lead to harvest failure. Combined with land conversion to non-agricultural uses, this will reduce paddy harvested area. Conversely, competition with other secondary crops providing higher income will reduce harvested areas of corn. Nonetheless, due to higher production of paddy and corn in 2024/25, the Government of Indonesia already announced it will only allow imports of specialty rice and will continue reducing corn import quota for industry in 2025/26, which is already forcing corn wet millers to shut down in late 2025. Imports of wheat in 2025/26 are forecast to increase to meet higher demand from growing feed and poultry industry and growing consumer demand for wheat-based foods, with an increased market share for U.S. wheat.