ID2026-0014 – Published on April 20, 2026
Indonesia’s sugarcane production is forecast to decrease to 35 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year 2026/27, with plantation white sugar production falling to 2.5 MMT. Strong El Niño conditions are expected to reduce both harvested area and sugarcane yields. Despite this decline, the Government of Indonesia (GOI) is not expected to issue import allocations for plantation white sugar and is expected to sharply reduce raw sugar import allocations for industry in 2026/27. This decision reflects an anticipated increase in 2025/26 plantation white sugar production. Sugar consumption is forecast to rise marginally to 7.25 MMT (raw sugar equivalent) in 2026/27. Population growth and expanding demand from the food and beverage industry will drive this increase, though growing health consciousness will temper consumption gains.