ID2025-0053 - On November 17, 2025, Indonesia notified a draft Decree from Indonesia’s Halal Authority (BPJPH) regarding, “Guidelines for the Implementation of the Halal Product Assurance System for Storage, Packaging, and Distribution Services” to the WTO TBT Committee (G/TBT/N/IDN/183). This regulation establishes new requirements for business operators providing storage, packaging, and distribution services for halal-certified products, which could impact U.S. agricultural exports beyond the halal certification requirements to be implemented on October 17, 2026. Although the comment deadline was November 30, 2025, FAS requested an extension for comment until mid-January 2026. FAS Jakarta recommends U.S. industries impacted by the proposed regulation submit comments to FAS Washington by early January to inform advocacy efforts. This report contains an unofficial translation of the draft Decree.

ID2025-0050 - Indonesian cotton production in 2025/26 is forecast to remain insignificant. Simultaneously, the industry continues to face problems of low global and domestic demand for Indonesian textile and textile products. Issues with low demand are further exasperated by tight competition with cheaper priced products in the local market, weakened local currency, fluctuating cotton prices in international markets, and forecast increases in labor wages. As a result, Indonesian cotton imports and consumption are forecast to decline in 2025/26.

ID2025-0046 - Despite predictions of another year with favorable weather, 2025/26 corn and rice production are forecast to decline. Consecutive plantings of paddy increase the risk of higher pest and disease incidence, which can lead to harvest failure. Combined with land conversion to non-agricultural uses, this will reduce paddy harvested area. Conversely, competition with other secondary crops providing higher income will reduce harvested areas of corn. Nonetheless, due to higher production of paddy and corn in 2024/25, the Government of Indonesia already announced it will only allow imports of specialty rice and will continue reducing corn import quota for industry in 2025/26, which is already forcing corn wet millers to shut down in late 2025. Imports of wheat in 2025/26 are forecast to increase to meet higher demand from growing feed and poultry industry and growing consumer demand for wheat-based foods, with an increased market share for U.S. wheat.

ID2025-0045 - Post raises its forecast for soybean meal imports in 2025/26, driven by stronger poultry demand and increased requirements from the expanding Free Nutritious Meal (MBG) program. Soybean consumption is also projected to recover in 2025/26 following contracted use related to weak household consumption in early 2025. The Government of Indonesia (GOI) has reaffirmed its commitment to implement the B50 biodiesel mandate by mid-2026, despite recent plantation seizures that may impact production.

ID2025-0039 - Indonesia’s 2025/26 coffee production is expected to rise to 12.5 million bags on improved yields due to favorable weather, increased inputs, and better farm maintenance. The estimate for green bean exports is revised up to 7.8 million bags on higher exportable volume, increased international demand, and Indonesian rupiah depreciation.

ID2025-0047 - Published on November 26, 2025 This report provides updated guidance to help U.S.…

ID2025-0038 - Since food security is a top priority of the President Prabowo administration, Indonesia’s national strategy supports increased research and development of agricultural biotechnology products and has taken steps to approve agricultural biotechnology events. Notably, the Government of Indonesia has accepted the food safety of golden rice, but cultivation is still pending approval for feed safety and environmental safety, as well as variety release. In addition, authorities have taken a favorable approach to regulating gene editing and approving stacked trait events, which will help facilitate the development and import of related products. Unfortunately, the Government of Indonesia has not prioritized the development of animal biotechnology. There is still no regulatory framework for genetically engineered animals and no genetically engineered animal products have been approved for commercialization.

ID2025-0044 - Published on November 21, 2025 Indonesia’s milk production increased to 722,883 metric tons…

ID2025-0036 - Published on November 21, 2025 Indonesia’s grocery retail sector reached $101 billion in…

ID2025-0035 - Published on August 27, 2025 On October 17, 2026, mandatory halal certification requirements…

ID2025-0029 - Indonesia’s aggressive biodiesel blending mandate rising from 35 percent to 40 percent in early 2025 has resulted in no exports due to limited production capacity. Expansion to B50 will require both significant subsidies and additional production capacity. The bioethanol market is projected for small growth in 2025, with E5 sales expected to remain limited in 2025 as the majority of the gasoline market is captured by subsidized fuel. In May and June 2025, the Government of Indonesia issued two conflicting regulations on biofuels, with one appearing to block biofuel imports while the other simplifies import processes. It remains unclear how these regulatory changes relate to the bilateral trade deal announced on July 22, 2025.

ID2025-0031 - Indonesia's palm oil export estimate is revised down from the previous estimate to 22.8 MMT in 2024/25 due to the B40 mandate and reduced export demand. Soybean consumption is expected to remain flat at 2.8 MMT in 2024/25 amid weak consumer purchasing power. Lower prices encouraged imports of soybeans and soybean meal, but depreciation of the Indonesian Rupiah and weak demand slowed this trend.

ID2025-0030 - For 2025/26, Indonesian paddy and corn production are forecast to return to normal trends following significant increases due to weather anomalies in 2024/25. The ample supply of corn in 2024/25 has driven feed mills to use more corn in feed formulations, reducing wheat for feed consumption and ending stocks. On trade, the trade deal between the United States and Indonesia announced on July 22, 2025 is expected to increase the market share of U.S. corn and wheat supplied to Indonesia in 2025/26.

ID2025-0028 - Following a lengthy period with a trade surplus, the U.S. trade balance with Indonesia in agricultural products began to reverse in 2021. Largely driven by increased palm oil exports, the highest trade deficit was recorded in 2022 at $1.8 billion. If the product scope is expanded to agricultural related products, including seafood and wood products, the deficit is even higher, valued at $3.7 billion in 2024. Overall, several factors substantially contributed to the U.S. agriculture trade deficit. These include increased competition (e.g., via tariff preferences and lower prices), non-tariff barriers (e.g., import licensing), and high U.S. demand for select Indonesian products. However, significant opportunities remain in this promising, albeit challenging, market, especially if the tariff and non-tariff barriers can be addressed.

ID2025-0027 - Indonesia, Southeast Asia’s largest economy with a population of 282 million, presents significant opportunities for U.S. exporters despite regulatory challenges, declining middle-class purchasing power, and tariff preferences granted to our major competitors. In 2024, the United States exported $3 billion of agricultural products to Indonesia with major products including soybeans, livestock feed ingredients, dairy products, wheat, cotton, beef, and fresh fruit. Tariff and non-tariff barriers remain, such as import licensing and facility registration requirements. In addition, halal certification requirements will apply to most agricultural products by October 2026. However, Indonesia’s tropical climate and rising demand for food products support continued growth in high-value agricultural imports. To succeed in this challenging but lucrative market, U.S. exporters should work closely with local importers, participate in major trade shows, and understand Indonesia’s relationship-focused business culture.