Indonesia Adds Import Licensing Requirements for Feed Ingredients of Plant Origin
ID2026-0022 – Effective May 8, 2026, the Ministry of Agriculture changed its import licensing scheme for 57 plant-based feed ingredients, including soybean meal and corn-derivative products via Ministry of Agriculture Regulation 11/2026. This regulation establishes two separate pathways for the Ministry’s import licensing-related approvals: one for soybean meal and wheat for feed and the other for 55 other feed ingredients. These changes threaten U.S. agricultural exports by using import licensing to enforce strict import timelines, control import volumes, designate import channels, and prohibit corn and broken rice imports for feed. The regulation aligns with Ministry of Trade Regulation 11/2026, which requires the Ministry of Trade to also issue import licenses for six commodities, including soybean meal and wheat for feed.
Grain and Feed Annual
ID2026-0010 – The anticipated early onset of the 2026 dry season, combined with the potential for a moderate El Niño that could bring hotter, drier weather through late 2026 and early 2027, is expected to increase corn harvested area in 2025/26 and 2026/27 since some farmers are likely to switch from growing paddy to corn, which requires less water. Consequently, paddy harvested area in 2025/26 and 2026/27 is forecast to decline, since most corn and paddy are grown in the same fields. Nonetheless, due to higher paddy and corn production in 2024/25, the Government of Indonesia (GOI) did not allow imports of medium-quality rice for consumption or rice for industry. The GOI also reduced the corn import quota for industry in 2025/26, which led corn wet millers to temporarily shut down in late 2025. In contrast, wheat imports in 2026/27 are forecast to increase to meet higher demand from the growing feed and poultry sectors and rising consumer demand for wheat-based foods, with an expected increased market share for U.S. wheat.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2025-0046 – Despite predictions of another year with favorable weather, 2025/26 corn and rice production are forecast to decline. Consecutive plantings of paddy increase the risk of higher pest and disease incidence, which can lead to harvest failure. Combined with land conversion to non-agricultural uses, this will reduce paddy harvested area. Conversely, competition with other secondary crops providing higher income will reduce harvested areas of corn. Nonetheless, due to higher production of paddy and corn in 2024/25, the Government of Indonesia already announced it will only allow imports of specialty rice and will continue reducing corn import quota for industry in 2025/26, which is already forcing corn wet millers to shut down in late 2025. Imports of wheat in 2025/26 are forecast to increase to meet higher demand from growing feed and poultry industry and growing consumer demand for wheat-based foods, with an increased market share for U.S. wheat.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2025-0030 – For 2025/26, Indonesian paddy and corn production are forecast to return to normal trends following significant increases due to weather anomalies in 2024/25. The ample supply of corn in 2024/25 has driven feed mills to use more corn in feed formulations, reducing wheat for feed consumption and ending stocks. On trade, the trade deal between the United States and Indonesia announced on July 22, 2025 is expected to increase the market share of U.S. corn and wheat supplied to Indonesia in 2025/26.
Grain and Feed Annual
ID2025-0016 – Sustained rainfall due to a subsiding El Nino and a weak La Nina that is predicted to last until April 2025 will likely lead to increased rice and corn production in 2024/25. Food self-sufficiency policies prioritized by Indonesia’s new administration, combined with a weakening Indonesian rupiah, and higher production are expected to severely curtail imports of corn and rice in 2024/25. Although the new President’s flagship Free Nutritious Meals program is slated to be well funded, it is expected to have limited effect on food and feed demand during its first year of implementation as suppliers await more certainty and clarity on procurement regulations before making operational adjustments.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2024-0045 – Indonesia’s 2024/25 wheat imports are forecast to decline 8 percent from 2023/24, when higher demand from feed mills, consumption of wheat flour-based food from major events in early 2024, and demand for cheaper alternatives to rice drove wheat imports up to new record highs. With larger production, rice imports in 2024/25 are expected to fall sharply from 2023/24, when the national logistics agency tendered to offset the smaller crop. Increased corn production in 2024/25 will reduce the volume of imports, although feed and wet milling demand remains strong.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2024-0021 – Driven mainly by higher demand from feed mills, higher consumption of flour-based food during the consecutive religious festivities and general election, as well as demand for alternative staples cheaper than rice and trending flour-based foods, Indonesian wheat imports in 2023/24 are estimated to break record levels at 12.6 million metric tons (MMT). Meanwhile, 2023/24 corn consumption for feed is revised down 8.5 percent to 8.6 MMT. Assuming recovering local corn production and lower corn prices, 2024/25 wheat imports are forecast to slow to 12.0 MMT while corn for feed consumption will increase to 9.0 MMT.
Grain and Feed Annual
ID2024-0010
The Red Sea conflict is not expected to pose significant threats to Indonesian grain imports. Driven by demand from the recent general elections, as well as high local corn prices, imports of wheat for food and feed consumption are estimated to increase for 2023/24. Post-election demand for wheat and rice are forecast to be corrected in 2024/25.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2023-0029
Economic slowdowns in Indonesia’s export destination countries negatively affected its imports and consumption of wheat. Wheat imports for 2022/23 are revised down to 9.446 million metric tons (MMT) from the previous estimate of 9.526 MMT, reflecting slower demand from both domestic and export markets. Total 2022/23 wheat consumption is estimated to decline to 9.6 MMT of wheat equivalent from 10.5 MMT the previous marketing year. As for rice, due to prolonged, El Nino-induced dryness, Indonesian 2022/23 paddy production is revised down to 53.1 MMT from the previous estimate of 53.5 MMT. Anticipating price fluctuations in 2023/24, the Government of Indonesia assigned state-owned enterprise BULOG to import another 1.5 MMT of rice to be carried out in 2024.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2023-0016
Economic slowdowns in Indonesia’s export destination countries curbed Indonesia’s imports and consumption of wheat. Indonesia wheat imports for 2022/23 are estimated to decrease to 9.0 million metric tons (MMT) from 11.23 MMT imported in 2021/22, reflecting slower demand. Indonesia’s total consumption of wheat in 2022/23 is estimated at 9.5 MMT of wheat equivalent, lower than the previous estimate of 9.7 MMT of wheat equivalent. Meanwhile, El Nino is expected to reduce 2022/23 rice production to 52.9 MMT compared to the previous 2022/23 estimate of 53.5 MMT. In anticipation of price fluctuations, state-owned enterprise BULOG will likely fully utilize its food security mandate to import 2.0 MMT of rice in 2022/23.