Biofuels Annual

ID2023-0018
The introduction of E5 gasoline in July 2023 restarted Indonesia’s bioethanol consumption after years of inactivity, albeit to a modest start of an estimated 2 million liters for 2023 due to E5’s price premium in a price sensitive market. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s new B35 biodiesel blending mandate reached nationwide coverage in August 2023 and is expected to raise biodiesel consumption 25 percent to 13 billion liters. The government of Indonesia (GOI) continues to carry out tests for renewable diesel (HDRD) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).

Coffee Annual 

ID2023-0012
Post forecasts Indonesia coffee production at 9.7 million bags in 2023/24, a decline of 18 percent from the previous year as excessive rainfall disrupted the cherry development stage, lowering yield in major Robusta producing areas. Subsequently, 2023/24 Indonesia green bean exports are projected to decrease 32 percent from the previous year to 5.2 million bags on lower exportable supplies.

Sugar Annual 

ID2023-0011
Private sugar mills expansion leads to increased production in 2022/2023. El Nino, which usually increases sugar content in sugarcane and continues area expansion by private sugar mills is forecast to further increase plantation white sugar production in 2023/24 to 2.6 million metric tons (MMT). Nonetheless, imports of raw sugar are forecast to increase mainly due to higher demand from refineries. In an effort to reduce and stabilize retail prices, the Government of Indonesia (GOI) has issued permits to import 991,000 tons of plantation white sugar in 2022/23.

Cotton and Products Annual 

ID2023-0009
Indonesian cotton imports in 2023/24 are forecast to remain stable at 2.0 million bales assuming spinners will use more inventory on hand before making new purchases. Imports are estimated to decline in 2022/23 to 2.0 million bales compared to 2.577 million tons imported in 2021/22. Sluggish global demand and tight competition in the domestic market from imported used clothing led to lower cotton utilization, increasing 2022/23 ending stocks to 547,000 bales. Ending stocks in 2023/24 are forecast to decline to 539,000 bales due to anticipated marginal increases in 2023/24 utilization to 2.0 million bales.

Grain and Feed Annual

ID2023-0006
High commodity prices in the international market during the last term of 2022 are expected to impede the growth of 2022/23 Indonesian wheat imports and curb the use of wheat in feed formulation. The removal of most COVID-19 restrictions is expected to lead to improved consumer spending. Therefore, consumption of wheat and corn for Food, Seed and Industrial in 2022/23 and 2023/24 are forecast to increase. Forecasts of an early and longer dry season in 2023 will provide for better corn production while posing threats to paddy production which requires more water than corn.

Oilseeds and Products Annual

ID2023-0005
Indonesia palm oil production for 2023/24 is forecast at 46 million metric tons (MMT), an increase of 3 percent from the previous year. Weather agencies are forecasting a developing El Nino weather pattern in the second half of 2023 that might bring on severe dryness. Soybean imports are expected to rise to 2.65 MMT for 2023/24 on continued rising demand from the soy-based food industry.