Grain and Feed Annual
ID2025-0016 – Sustained rainfall due to a subsiding El Nino and a weak La Nina that is predicted to last until April 2025 will likely lead to increased rice and corn production in 2024/25. Food self-sufficiency policies prioritized by Indonesia’s new administration, combined with a weakening Indonesian rupiah, and higher production are expected to severely curtail imports of corn and rice in 2024/25. Although the new President’s flagship Free Nutritious Meals program is slated to be well funded, it is expected to have limited effect on food and feed demand during its first year of implementation as suppliers await more certainty and clarity on procurement regulations before making operational adjustments.
Purr-Plexed in Indonesia on Pet Food
ID2025-0014 – In Indonesia, the pet food market (especially for cats) has seen remarkable growth, increasing 24.5 percent to reach $237 million in 2023. To gain insight into this promising product category amid reduced market share for U.S. pet food, FAS Jakarta partnered with Food Export Midwest/Northeast and a prominent consultant. The attached report includes an in-depth survey and market intelligence related to Indonesian pet food production, supply, distribution, and policy. In addition, while not directly analyzed in this report, FAS Jakarta also sees opportunities for exports of U.S. pet food ingredients, including corn, chicken meal, corn gluten meal, soybean meal, and fish meal to fuel the Indonesian pet food manufacturing industry.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2024-0045 – Indonesia’s 2024/25 wheat imports are forecast to decline 8 percent from 2023/24, when higher demand from feed mills, consumption of wheat flour-based food from major events in early 2024, and demand for cheaper alternatives to rice drove wheat imports up to new record highs. With larger production, rice imports in 2024/25 are expected to fall sharply from 2023/24, when the national logistics agency tendered to offset the smaller crop. Increased corn production in 2024/25 will reduce the volume of imports, although feed and wet milling demand remains strong.
Grain and Feed Update
ID2024-0021 – Driven mainly by higher demand from feed mills, higher consumption of flour-based food during the consecutive religious festivities and general election, as well as demand for alternative staples cheaper than rice and trending flour-based foods, Indonesian wheat imports in 2023/24 are estimated to break record levels at 12.6 million metric tons (MMT). Meanwhile, 2023/24 corn consumption for feed is revised down 8.5 percent to 8.6 MMT. Assuming recovering local corn production and lower corn prices, 2024/25 wheat imports are forecast to slow to 12.0 MMT while corn for feed consumption will increase to 9.0 MMT.
Food Processing Ingredients Annual
ID2024-0012
Indonesia offers significant opportunities for U.S. ingredient suppliers to meet the demand for raw materials for its food processing industry. The United States is the third largest agricultural supplier to Indonesia, with an 11-percent market share. Soybeans and dairy products made up about half of all U.S. agricultural products shipped to Indonesia in 2023. Other top U.S. agricultural product exports to Indonesia in 2023 included feeds and fodders, cotton, corn, wheat, fresh fruits, and beef and beef products. Halal certification will become mandatory for many foods/ingredients/additives and for all processed food products starting on October 17, 2024.
Grain and Feed Annual
ID2024-0010
The Red Sea conflict is not expected to pose significant threats to Indonesian grain imports. Driven by demand from the recent general elections, as well as high local corn prices, imports of wheat for food and feed consumption are estimated to increase for 2023/24. Post-election demand for wheat and rice are forecast to be corrected in 2024/25.
Government of Indonesia Opens Corn Imports to 500 Thousand Tons
ID2023-0025
The El Nino climate pattern is expected to reduce Indonesia’s 2022/23 rice and corn production. Post estimates Indonesia’s 2022/23 corn production to decline to 12.3 million metric tons (MMT) compared to the previous estimate of 12.9 MMT. Production shortages are expected to result in soaring corn prices. On October 11, 2023, the National Food Agency (NFA) authorized the government-owned National Logistics Agency (BULOG) to import a total of 500,000 metric tons of feed corn to soften the impact of higher commodity prices and ensure adequate supplies for small holder poultry farmers.
Food Processing Ingredients
ID2023-0008
Indonesia currently imports 65 percent of the raw materials needed for its growing food processing industry. In 2022, exports of U.S. agricultural products to Indonesia increased by nine percent largely due to higher demand for soybean, dairy and beef. Top U.S. agricultural exports include soybeans, feeds and fodders, cotton, dairy, corn, wheat, fresh fruits, and beef and beef products.
Grain and Feed Annual
ID2023-0006
High commodity prices in the international market during the last term of 2022 are expected to impede the growth of 2022/23 Indonesian wheat imports and curb the use of wheat in feed formulation. The removal of most COVID-19 restrictions is expected to lead to improved consumer spending. Therefore, consumption of wheat and corn for Food, Seed and Industrial in 2022/23 and 2023/24 are forecast to increase. Forecasts of an early and longer dry season in 2023 will provide for better corn production while posing threats to paddy production which requires more water than corn.
